Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.