

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 50.82% ( | 26.3% ( | 22.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.64% ( | 57.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.82% ( | 78.18% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( | 22.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.69% ( | 56.31% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.38% ( | 40.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.79% ( | 77.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 13.66% ( 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
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