

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 61.02% | 23.85% | 15.12% |
| Both teams to score 40.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.1% | 57.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% | 78.6% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% | 18.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.83% | 50.16% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.93% | 50.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.29% | 84.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 15.72% 2-0 @ 13.15% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.07% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.67% Total : 61.02% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.44% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.5% 1-2 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 2.25% Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | GironaGirona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Valencia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | CadizCadiz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 7 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Granada | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Almeria | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 3 |
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
