Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.