Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Vizela |
| 34.48% ( | 26.41% ( | 39.11% |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% ( | 52.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( | 73.79% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( | 28.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.4% ( | 64.6% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( | 26.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.9% ( | 61.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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