

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 38.51% ( | 25.74% ( | 35.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% ( | 49.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( | 71.15% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( | 25.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.33% ( | 59.66% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( | 26.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.23% ( | 61.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.51% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 35.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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