Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente2 - 3Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Gil Vicente 0-2 Benfica
Benfica have not been wholly convincing in the league yet, but with the quality in their ranks, they should come out on top here. Gil Vicente have enjoyed a relatively strong start and should not be discouraged if Benfica get the better of them here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
18.71% ( -0.07) | 21.66% ( -0.01) | 59.64% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
