Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 10.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.21%) and 0-3 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
10.45% (![]() | 16.71% (![]() | 72.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.8% (![]() | 39.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.46% (![]() | 61.53% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.95% | 46.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.24% | 81.76% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% (![]() | 9.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.43% (![]() | 31.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 3.35% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.45% | 1-1 @ 7.93% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.71% | 0-2 @ 12.09% 0-1 @ 10.21% 0-3 @ 9.54% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.81% Total : 72.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |