

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.38%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
| 8.38% ( | 15.73% ( | 75.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( | 41.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% ( | 63.75% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.13% ( | 51.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.08% ( | 85.92% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.81% ( | 9.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.87% ( | 31.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 3.13% ( 2-1 @ 2.45% ( 2-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.38% | 1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 2-2 @ 2.93% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 15.73% | 0-2 @ 13.58% ( 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0-3 @ 10.8% ( 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 1-3 @ 7.09% ( 0-4 @ 6.45% ( 1-4 @ 4.23% ( 0-5 @ 3.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-5 @ 2.02% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0-6 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 75.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
| 2 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Porto | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 70 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 61 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 39 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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