| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 6 | 11 | 18 | 
| 2 | Braga | 6 | 16 | 16 | 
| 3 | Porto | 7 | 11 | 16 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Famalicao | 6 | -6 | 4 | 
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 7 | -10 | 1 | 
| 18 | Maritimo | 6 | -13 | 0 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.28%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.68%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Maritimo | 
| 81.28% ( | 12.54% ( | 6.18% ( | 
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.65% ( | 34.35% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.74% ( | 56.26% ( | 
| Benfica Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.55% ( | 6.44% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.89% ( | 24.11% ( | 
| Maritimo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 47.21% ( | 52.79% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.48% ( | 86.52% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Benfica | Draw | Maritimo | 
| 2-0 @ 12.78% ( 3-0 @ 11.68% ( 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 4-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 4-1 @ 5.12% ( 5-0 @ 4.39% ( 5-1 @ 2.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 6-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 6-1 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 4.19% Total : 81.26% | 1-1 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 2-2 @ 2.61% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 12.54% | 0-1 @ 2.17% ( 1-2 @ 1.9% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 6.18% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 48 | 65 | 
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 | 
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 | 
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 | 
| 7 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 | 
| 8 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 | 
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 | 
| 10 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 | 
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 | 
| 12 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 | 
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 | 
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 16 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 | 
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