| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Famalicao | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 4 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Maritimo |
| 54.34% ( | 24.44% ( | 21.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.94% ( | 52.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.21% ( | 73.79% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( | 19.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.31% ( | 50.69% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.73% ( | 39.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.03% ( | 75.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% ( 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.33% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 54 | 13 | 41 | 56 |
| 2 | Porto | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48 | 12 | 36 | 51 |
| 3 | Braga | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 23 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 34 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 30 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Vizela | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 26 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 26 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 12 |
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