Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 34.98% ( | 25.21% ( | 39.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( | 46.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( | 69.05% ( |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( | 25.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.07% ( | 60.93% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( | 23.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.76% ( | 57.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 34.98% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 40 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 105 | 36 | 69 | 100 |
| 2 | Notts County | 41 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 103 | 36 | 67 | 97 |
| 3 | Woking | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 72 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
| 5 | Barnet | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 65 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 8 | Bromley | 40 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 61 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 56 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 56 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 55 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 55 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 48 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 47 |
| 16 | York City | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 46 |
| 17 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 46 |
| 18 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 40 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 46 |
| 19 | Gateshead | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 40 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 38 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 37 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 41 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 46 | 76 | -30 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 41 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 43 | 90 | -47 | 24 |
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