Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 40.77% (  0.21) | 24.21% (  -0.04) | 35.01% (  -0.17) | 
| Both teams to score 60.37% (  0.11) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.83% (  0.17) | 42.17% (  -0.17) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.42% (  0.17) | 64.58% (  -0.17) | 
| Wealdstone Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.17% (  0.17) | 20.82% (  -0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.5% (  0.27) | 53.5% (  -0.27) | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.25% (  -0.02) | 23.75% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.11% (  -0.02) | 57.89% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wealdstone | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 2-1 @ 8.75% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 7.76% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.09% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% (  0.04) 3-2 @ 3.29% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 3.18% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% (  0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 11.15% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.29% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 4.95% (  -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.58% (  0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.02% (  -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.11% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.11% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.84% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.38% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% (  0) Other @ 3% Total : 35.01% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 | 
| 3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 | 
| 4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 | 
| 5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 | 
| 6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 | 
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 | 
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 | 
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 | 
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 | 
| 12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 | 
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 | 
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 | 
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 | 
| 18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 | 
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 | 
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