

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 63.72% ( | 21.37% ( | 14.91% ( | 
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.94% ( | 49.06% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.86% ( | 71.14% ( | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.26% ( | 14.74% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.04% ( | 42.96% ( | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 54.96% ( | 45.04% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.04% ( | 80.96% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 3-0 @ 7.77% ( 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 5-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 63.7%  | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-2 @ 3.87% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.36%  | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.91%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 53 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 | 
| 3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 | 
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 | 
| 6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 | 
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 | 
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 | 
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 | 
| 12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 | 
| 14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 | 
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 | 
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 | 
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