Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
40.63% (![]() | 28.64% (![]() | 30.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.78% (![]() | 61.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.84% (![]() | 81.15% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% (![]() | 29.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% (![]() | 65.58% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.96% (![]() | 36.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.18% (![]() | 72.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 12.98% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.08% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 13.25% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 10.87% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | Casa Pia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Vizela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | ChavesChaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | PortimonensePortimonense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |