

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rio Ave.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
| 40.63% ( | 28.64% ( | 30.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.78% ( | 61.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.84% ( | 81.15% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( | 29.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.42% ( | 65.58% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( | 36.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.18% ( | 72.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.5% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 30.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Casa Pia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Vizela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | ChavesChaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | PortimonensePortimonense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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