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Nantes
Coupe de France | Semi-Finals
Apr 5, 2023 at 8.10pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lyon
Nantes
1 - 0
Lyon
Blas (57')
Girotto (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tolisso (45+4'), Lovren (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Nantes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 0-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-2 Lyon

Fresh from dispatching PSG, in-form Lyon look set to book their place in the Coupe de France final at the expense of Nantes, who are on course to suffer a sixth defeat in nine games across all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawLyon
29.94% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03) 24.26% (0.0020000000000024 0) 45.79% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.14% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)44.21% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)66.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)27.82% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.59% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)63.41% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)19.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)51.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 29.94%
    Lyon 45.79%
    Draw 24.26%
NantesDrawLyon
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.94%
1-1 @ 11.33%
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 45.79%

How you voted: Nantes vs Lyon

Nantes
14.8%
Draw
12.3%
Lyon
72.8%
81
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
Nantes
0-0
Lyon

Traore (69'), Corchia (90+4')

Tete (54'), Lukeba (76'), Kumbedi (85')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Lyon
3-2
Nantes
Dembele (9'), Paqueta (78'), Tete (85')
Ndombele (61')
Merlin (81'), Cyprien (90+2')
Kombouare (55')
Aug 27, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Lyon

Da Silva (7'), Kolo (90+3')
Dembele (35')
Da Silva (43')
Da Silva (78')
Apr 18, 2021 8pm
Nantes
1-2
Lyon
Depay (5', 37'), Pallois (60')
Denayer (67')
rhs 2.0
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3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351812563313266
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
7Aston Villa36176134844457
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331671063451855
9Fulham36156155249351
10Brentford35121495245750
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham35107183850-1237
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton35711173253-2132
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3586214964-1530
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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