Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lyon in this match.
