

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC | 
| 36.27% | 27.24% | 36.48% | 
| Both teams to score 50.14% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.66% | 55.33% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.45% | 76.55% | 
| Nantes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.75% | 29.25% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.79% | 65.21% | 
| Montpellier HSC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.88% | 29.12% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.95% | 65.05% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC | 
| 1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.27% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.48% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 35 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 81 | 
| 2 | Lens | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 75 | 
| 3 | Marseille | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 73 | 
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 65 | 
| 5 | Lille | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 63 | 
| 6 | Rennes | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 59 | 
| 7 | Lyon | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 59 | 
| 8 | Clermont | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 53 | 
| 9 | Lorient | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 52 | 
| 10 | Nice | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 51 | 
| 11 | Reims | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 50 | 
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 47 | 
| 13 | Toulouse | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 | 
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 38 | 
| 15 | Brest | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 38 | 
| 16 | Auxerre | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | 
| 17 | NantesNantes | 36 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 33 | 
| R | Ajaccio | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 66 | -44 | 23 | 
| R | Troyes | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 22 | 
| R | Angers | 35 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 29 | 77 | -48 | 14 | 
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