

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 25.35% ( | 23.08% ( | 51.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% ( | 42.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.5% ( | 64.5% ( |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( | 30.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.82% ( | 66.18% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( | 16.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.95% ( | 46.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 3-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0-2 @ 8.05% ( 1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0-3 @ 4.85% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0-4 @ 2.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 1-5 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 78 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 64 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 78 | 50 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 21 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 81 | -63 | 16 |
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