Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 31.41% ( | 26.05% ( | 42.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( | 51.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( | 73.17% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( | 30.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.39% ( | 66.61% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( | 23.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.82% ( | 58.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 2-0 @ 5.16% ( 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 3-0 @ 2.05% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.41% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 27 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 62 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 43 |
| 6 | Montrose | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
| 9 | Clyde | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 15 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 27 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 63 | -50 | 12 |
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