Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 38.31% ( | 25.68% ( | 36.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( | 48.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( | 70.91% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( | 25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.34% ( | 59.65% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% ( | 26.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.6% ( | 61.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 2-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 4-2 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 36.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 |
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