Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians | 
| 38.31% (  -0.04) | 25.68% (  -0) | 36.01% (  0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 55.29% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.19% (  0.01) | 48.81% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.09% (  0.01) | 70.91% (  -0.01) | 
| Montrose Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75% (  -0.02) | 25% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.34% (  -0.03) | 59.65% (  0.02) | 
| Airdrieonians Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.71% (  0.03) | 26.28% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.6% (  0.04) | 61.4% (  -0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Montrose | Draw | Airdrieonians | 
| 1-0 @ 9.11% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.44% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.31% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.9% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.92% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.61% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% (  -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% (  -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 38.31% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.57% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.64% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.78% (  0) 1-2 @ 8.13% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 5.87% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 3.62% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.61% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.51% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.21% (  0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 36.01% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 | 
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 | 
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 | 
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 | 
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 | 
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 | 
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 | 
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 | 
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 | 
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 | 
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