

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 38.16% ( | 24.79% ( | 37.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.35% ( | 44.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.99% ( | 67.01% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( | 23.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.91% ( | 57.09% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( | 23.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.07% ( | 57.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | I | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| 2 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | S | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 23 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Montrose | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | Kelty Hearts | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 2 |
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