Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 30.4% (  0.3) | 24.84% (  -0.18) | 44.76% (  -0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 56.43% (  0.78) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.43% (  0.95) | 46.56% (  -0.95) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.16% (  0.89) | 68.83% (  -0.89) | 
| Edinburgh City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.31% (  0.68) | 28.69% (  -0.68) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.49% (  0.84) | 64.51% (  -0.85) | 
| Alloa Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.14% (  0.34) | 20.86% (  -0.34) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.44% (  0.53) | 53.55% (  -0.53) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic | 
| 1-0 @ 7.47% (  -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.31% (  0.06) 2-0 @ 4.67% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.04% (  0.08) 3-2 @ 2.39% (  0.09) 3-0 @ 1.94% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 0.95% (  0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 11.71% (  -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.98% (  -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.73% (  0.11) 3-3 @ 1.25% (  0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 9.38% (  -0.28) 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.35% (  -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.8% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 3.84% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.99% (  0.09) 1-4 @ 1.88% (  0.04) 0-4 @ 1.51% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.17% (  0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.76% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 27 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 62 | 
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 54 | 
| 3 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 45 | 
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 45 | 
| 5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 43 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 38 | 
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 36 | 
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 | 
| 9 | Clyde | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 15 | 
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 27 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 63 | -50 | 12 | 
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