Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 47% ( | 26.64% ( | 26.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( | 56.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( | 77.14% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( | 23.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.96% ( | 58.05% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( | 36.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.5% ( | 73.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 2-0 @ 9% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 33 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 74 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 56 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 45 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 20 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 78 | -62 | 15 |
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