

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kelty Hearts in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 49.16% ( | 25.73% ( | 25.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% ( | 53.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% ( | 75.02% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( | 21.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.02% ( | 54.98% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( | 36.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.8% ( | 73.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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