Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 47.39% ( | 25.34% ( | 27.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( | 50.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( | 72.38% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( | 21.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.76% ( | 54.23% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( | 32.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.44% ( | 69.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.39% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 |
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