Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
