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Norwich logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK
Carrow Road
Blackburn logo
Norwich
0 - 1
Blackburn

Aarons (22'), Hugill (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vale (31')
Carter (53')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Norwich City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers

Regardless of whether Wagner is in charge at the weekend, you would have to expect Norwich's squad to react positively to the appointment. With that in mind, we feel that the Canaries may be able to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
58.28% (0.606 0.61) 22.6% (-0.19 -0.19) 19.12% (-0.42 -0.42)
Both teams to score 51.53% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (0.22 0.22)47.25% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (0.203 0.2)69.48% (-0.206 -0.21)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (0.28099999999999 0.28)15.91% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (0.518 0.52)45.15% (-0.521 -0.52)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28% (-0.327 -0.33)38.72% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.312 -0.31)75.46% (0.309 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 58.27%
    Blackburn Rovers 19.12%
    Draw 22.6%
Norwich CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 58.27%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.6%
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 19.12%

How you voted: Norwich vs Blackburn

Norwich City
50.0%
Draw
21.2%
Blackburn Rovers
28.8%
52
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Apr 27, 2019 7.30pm
Norwich
2-1
Blackburn
Stiepermann (13'), Vrancic (21')
Zimmermann (64')
Travis (23')
Lenihan (18'), Dack (53'), Armstrong (81')
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Blackburn
0-1
Norwich

Evans (23'), Smallwood (29')
Pukki (86')
Hernandez (28'), Leitner (42'), Cantwell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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