| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Montrose | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Alloa Athletic | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Alloa Athletic | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 32.56% ( | 25.77% ( | 41.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( | 49.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.21% ( | 71.78% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% ( | 28.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.27% ( | 64.72% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( | 23.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.19% ( | 57.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 33 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 74 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 56 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 54 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 45 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 20 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 33 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 78 | -62 | 15 |
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