Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.