Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.