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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Napoli logo
Lecce
1 - 2
Napoli
Di Francesco (52')
Gendrey (62'), Umtiti (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
Ndombele (72')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Lecce
Monday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-4 AC Milan
Sunday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-2 Napoli

Goal-shy Lecce are perhaps the ideal opponents for Napoli to face following their implosion last weekend. If they quickly return to keeping the back door shut, the league leaders should secure victory at Via del Mare, where their hosts have not won since January. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.51%) and 0-3 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawNapoli
11.16% (-0.013 -0.01) 19.35% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 69.49% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.63% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (-0.229 -0.23)48.96% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (-0.208 -0.21)71.05% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.98% (-0.167 -0.17)51.02% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.65% (-0.114 -0.11)85.35% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)12.96% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.56% (-0.162 -0.16)39.44% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 11.16%
    Napoli 69.49%
    Draw 19.35%
LecceDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 4.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 11.16%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.062 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 19.35%
0-2 @ 13.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 13.51% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 9.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 69.49%

How you voted: Lecce vs Napoli

Lecce
7.5%
Draw
9.0%
Napoli
83.6%
134
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

Real Madrid Until The End
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