Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 22.63% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.