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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo
Lazio
1 - 2
Napoli
Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

Last Six:
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Lazio
Wednesday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Napoli

Last Six:
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Napoli

 Though Sarri lost both games against his former employer last season, by an aggregate score of 6-1, he can get the better of Spalletti on this occasion, as Napoli have been more hit-and-miss since a summer of comings and goings in the transfer market; Lazio are the more settled side and should edge a close encounter in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
27.75% (0.302 0.3) 25.74% (0.601 0.6) 46.51% (-0.906 -0.91)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-1.662 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (-2.277 -2.28)51.77% (2.272 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.46% (-2.009 -2.01)73.53% (2.006 2.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (-0.964 -0.96)33.29% (0.961 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09% (-1.075 -1.08)69.91% (1.07 1.07)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-1.347 -1.35)22.24% (1.344 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-2.064 -2.06)55.67% (2.062 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 27.75%
    Napoli 46.51%
    Draw 25.74%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.515 0.52)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.75%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 7.41% (0.648 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.56 0.56)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 8.37% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-3 @ 4.19% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.51%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
47.4%
Draw
22.4%
Napoli
30.3%
152
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 7.50pm
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')
Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
4-0
Lazio
Zielinski (7'), Mertens (10', 29'), Fabian (85')
Di Lorenzo (78'), Demme (88')

Felipe (13'), Patric (35'), Cataldi (59'), Zaccagni (79')
Apr 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
5-2
Lazio
Insigne (7' pen., 53'), Politano (12'), Mertens (65'), Osimhen (80')
Manolas (15'), Fabian (42'), Mertens (45+1'), Di Lorenzo (73')
Immobile (70'), Milinkovic-Savic (74')
Milinkovic-Savic (6'), Leiva (30'), Immobile (48'), Pereira (75')
Dec 20, 2020 7.45pm
Lazio
2-0
Napoli
Immobile (9'), Alberto (56')
Hoedt (11'), Escalante (24'), Immobile (43'), Lazzari (90+1')

Lozano (13'), Koulibaly (30'), Lobotka (75')
Aug 1, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
3-1
Lazio
Fabian (9'), Insigne (54' pen.), Politano (90+2')
Koulibaly (15'), Rui (69'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Elmas (90+5')
Immobile (22')
Proto (70'), Immobile (72'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+4')
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli37276475284787
2Lazio37218858302871
3Inter Milan372231270422869
4AC Milan371910861421967
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus372161055332259
8Torino371411124240253
9Fiorentina371411125042853
10Monza371410134647-152
11Bologna371312125047351
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli371013143747-1043
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce37812173143-1236
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37710203056-2631
19Cremonese37412213469-3524
RSampdoria37310242469-4519
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