Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.