Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.