| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Montrose | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 57.5% ( | 22.71% ( | 19.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( | 46.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( | 69.03% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( | 16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.67% ( | 45.32% ( |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( | 37.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.5% ( | 74.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 63 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 49 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 46 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Montrose | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 41 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 34 |
| 9 | Clyde | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 15 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 29 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 72 | -59 | 12 |
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