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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Toronto FC
Earthquakes
0 - 0
Toronto

Marie (30')
FT

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 Toronto

Toronto seem to have a dependable centre-back pairing, but there does not appear to be much depth across the board, and that could present a problem this weekend with some key midfielders being away for the international break. We expect the Quakes to have a decided edge in the midfield and create enough scoring chances to eventually come out on top.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
58.03% (0.12200000000001 0.12) 21.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 20.42% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (0.094999999999999 0.09)40.77% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (0.095999999999997 0.1)63.16% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (0.071999999999989 0.07)13.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.86% (0.136 0.14)41.14% (-0.131 -0.13)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)33.64% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.29% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 58.03%
    Toronto 20.42%
    Draw 21.54%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 58.03%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.42%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Toronto

San Jose Earthquakes
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Toronto
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Earthquakes
Kerr (71'), Osorio (75')
Kerr (87')
Ebobisse (26'), Skahan (90+2')
Yueill (90+5')
Feb 29, 2020 10.30pm
Earthquakes
2-2
Toronto
Rios (53'), Alanis (90')
Thompson (33'), Yueill (70'), Kashia (81')
Pozuelo (40' pen.), Laryea (51')
Altidore (71'), Endoh (90')
May 27, 2019 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Earthquakes
Laryea (28')
Fraser (61')
Wondolowski (37', 81')
Thompson (33'), Espinoza (64'), Eriksson (69')
Aug 19, 2018 3am
Sep 9, 2017 10pm
Toronto
4-0
Earthquakes
Vazquez (26'), Altidore (48', 64'), Osorio (66')

Godoy (43'), Urena (57')
Ceren (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1New England RevolutionNew England11731189924
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati117311512324
3Nashville SCNashville11533146818
4Atlanta UnitedAtlanta115332018218
5New York City FCNY City114341414015
6Columbus Crew104241912714
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia104241513214
8DC United114251515014
9Orlando City104241012-214
10Inter MiamiInter Miami104061011-112
11Toronto112631315-212
12Charlotte FCCharlotte FC113351321-812
13CF MontrealMontreal10406917-812
14Chicago Fire102531316-311
15New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls11164711-49

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1162322121020
2Seattle SoundersSeattle11623189920
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles9531178918
4San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes115331514118
5Dallas114431211116
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver10352149514
7Houston DynamoHouston9423108214
8Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd103341011-112
9Portland TimbersPortland113351518-312
10Colorado RapidsColorado11263912-312
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake103251017-711
12Austin FCAustin102441016-610
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10136817-96
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas11137516-116

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