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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Toronto |
58.03% (![]() | 21.55% (![]() | 20.42% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.2% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.23% (![]() | 40.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.84% (![]() | 63.16% (![]() |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.2% (![]() | 13.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.86% (![]() | 41.14% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.36% (![]() | 33.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.71% (![]() | 70.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.92% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 58.03% | 1-1 @ 10.01% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 5.46% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
8 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Orlando City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
11 | Toronto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 12 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
15 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 20 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
4 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
5 | Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 16 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
10 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 6 |