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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Toronto |
61.51% (![]() | 20.1% (![]() | 18.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.88% (![]() | 37.12% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.68% (![]() | 59.31% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% (![]() | 11.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.31% (![]() | 36.69% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.44% (![]() | 33.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.8% (![]() | 70.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.47% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 4.32% Total : 61.51% | 1-1 @ 9.18% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.1% | 1-2 @ 5.01% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.82% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 18.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 20 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 11 |
8 | DC United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 11 |
9 | Orlando City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
11 | Toronto | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 9 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 19 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 |
4 | Dallas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |