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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 28 | -3 | 35 |
| 6 | Toronto | 29 | -5 | 34 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 42 | 60 |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 28 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 43.53% ( | 23.86% ( | 32.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( | 41.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( | 63.53% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( | 19.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.17% ( | 50.82% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( | 24.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.85% ( | 59.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
