The new MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 27 | -3 | 34 |
| 6 | Toronto | 28 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 27 | -10 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | -1 | 39 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 3 | 37 |
| 4 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 0 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 43.67% ( | 23.71% ( | 32.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( | 40.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.19% ( | 62.81% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( | 18.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.75% ( | 50.25% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( | 24.29% ( |