Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.