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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 20 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 20 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 19 | 0 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 3 | 26 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 19 | -1 | 25 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo | 20 | -3 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 53.76% ( | 23.5% ( | 22.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( | 46.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( | 68.88% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( | 17.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.42% ( | 47.58% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( | 34.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.53% ( | 71.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 3-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0-0 @ 6% ( 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-2 @ 3.35% ( 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 22.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
| 2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | DC United | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Toronto | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | St Louis City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 23 |
| 3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Dallas | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Austin FCAustin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Houston DynamoHouston | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
