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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 48.95% | 24.54% | 26.51% |
| Both teams to score 54.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% | 47.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% | 69.82% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% | 19.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.62% | 51.38% |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% | 32.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.45% | 68.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 5.18% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.26% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.11% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.51% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.66% Total : 26.51% |
