Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
