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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 19 | 7 | 32 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 9 | 30 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 18 | 1 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Toronto | 18 | -10 | 18 |
| 8 | DC United | 16 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 18 | -8 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
| 60.75% ( | 22.62% ( | 16.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.91% ( | 51.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.06% ( | 72.94% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( | 16.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.95% ( | 46.04% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.05% ( | 43.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.92% ( | 80.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% ( 2-0 @ 11.77% ( 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 60.73% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 2-2 @ 3.98% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 16.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
