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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
44.85% | 25.62% | 29.53% |
Both teams to score 53.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.68% | 50.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.74% | 72.26% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.61% | 22.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.1% | 55.9% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% | 31.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% | 67.54% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |