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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 19 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | Inter Miami | 18 | -5 | 22 |
| 10 | Atlanta United | 18 | 0 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 19 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 20 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 19 | 0 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 38.53% ( | 26.72% ( | 34.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.68% ( | 53.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% ( | 74.86% ( |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( | 26.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.7% ( | 62.3% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( | 29.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.85% ( | 65.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Toronto | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | New York City FCNY City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Saint Louis City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Dallas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Austin FCAustin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Houston DynamoHouston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
