Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.