Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.